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Capital Moves from Cloud to Factories as the Trillion-Dollar Club Reshuffles

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Chipmakers in the trillion-dollar market cycle

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What happened: By the end of June, the club of companies worth more than $1 trillion had expanded to 16, while the Magnificent Seven had lost about $2.3 trillion in combined value. NVIDIA fell from a peak of $5.4 trillion to $4.7 trillion but retained the top position, followed by Alphabet and then Apple. Meanwhile, the shares of some Asian chipmakers have tripled since the start of the year, while UBS expects the S&P 500 to reach 8,200 points by summer 2027.

The lens: The economic transition lens: the market is moving from rewarding promises to an earnings verification phase. Talking about artificial intelligence is no longer enough to lift a valuation. Investors now want actual returns on capital expenditure. For Gulf sovereign wealth funds with heavy exposure to these companies, the flow of capital upstream, toward chips and hardware, suggests that owning the physical manufacturing layer rather than application interfaces is the more durable bet in this cycle.

Source: TradingKey analysis of trillion-dollar companies

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